|
I don't imagine the war surviving to 2025. At least not in a meaningful way. Not in a way that the US President will have a say in the outcome after the Inauguration in January.
Russia can press on, but the questions will start to be "at what cost" and "for what gain?" Both Finland and Sweden have joined NATO. That's already a massive lose for Putin's goals of stopping NATO spreading. Urkaine is clearly not going to stay under Russian influence after two years of war that was suppose to take like a week.
What I don't know is where the border will end up. Will Russia manage to keep some of its gains? Will is keep the Donbas, Luhansk and Crimea (or the other oblasts they have annexed)? Will Ukraine manage to push them back to their pre-2014 borders? Will Ukraine ever get their displaced peoples back from wherever the Russians took them?
|