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Techically Fate showed its ugly head in episode 3. Kiseragi sinking at Island W was just that, fate. That is where she sank before and thus were she sank again. The tossing in of the historical allusion that early on was the start of the fight against Fate. At that point, the worry about, "will they do Midway? Will they sink the carriers?" started to show up. We were not sure what would happen, but they had already used a allusion to an actual World War II event...and thus the stage was set for more drama to happen. The plot didn't even need to be written, it happened in reality. All they needed to do was read a history book, then decide were to fight Fate.
That place, the place to fight Fate, was Midway.
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