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Having the Cranes and Taiho with Yamato would change the odds considerably even if Akagi sinks. Even more if Nagato and Mutsu head out as well (rather than stay and defend the base).
This anime doesn't appear to be about the horrors or futile nature of war. Nor is it glorifying it. The loss of one shipgirl adds to the tension this late on as the posibility that others could sink is real. Akagi's dream reminding people of the real Midway increases that tension as Akagi repeats Nagumo's mistakes, while Nagato potentally repeats Yamamoto's mistakes. But things have changed. Things are different. Fubuki being as advances as she is is only one thing. Having Shimakaze around at all is a big thing. Taiho is another (though I wonder if she's remember this happening, she's seems sad).
Having Akagi sink at this time would be a downer, but would work as a narrative if they do intend to have a second season, thus Akagi's death pushing Fubuki even harder as they head to the Solomoms (and Ironbottom Sound). If they go their...and keep things moderately historical....Fubuki will not make it out of the series alive. Which is why things have to change.
What is the line from the OP, 'Don't repeat the tragedy'. All the pieces are in place to turn the tide of the war. Remember that the Shipgirls and humanity have been more or less losing until recently. In history, Japan was sweeping the Pacific with nothing really stopping them. The turning point was Midway. Either the Japanese could continue on, or the Allies would stop them. Now? The Shipgirls are advancing, but will the Abyssal turn the tide and retake the oceans again?
Nagato's questioning why they are there is interesting though. And it is a valid question with no answer.
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